TARIFFS GIVE. TARIFFS TAKE
AUDIO COMMENTARY
All markets soar after Trump news
Paused tariffs for any country that didn’t retaliate
Trump increased China tariffs again
Feels like we are gaining demand
Beans didn’t flinch on the tariff news
A lot of money on the sideline that can come in
Crude massively off it’s lows. Equivalent to $1 grain move
If you’re locking in inputs, it is okay to make sales that make you money
Immense upside if trade war creates demand
The extreme possible cards are everywhere
It’s easy when the market goes up
Pockets where corn acres won’t be crazy high
Playing stuff on the patient side
Corn & bean price action very impressive
We hit China with a tariff & beans trade higher
Corn has traded higher through this all
Corn breaking out (chart below)*
Beans bullish pattern still in play (chart below)*
Listen to today’s audio below
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CHARTS
May Corn 🌽
Closed above the 100-day MA. Confirms the new uptrend is in place.
Next target is $4.80
That is 50% of the sell off. It is also key support from last year. It is now resistance.
Dec Corn 🌽
Closed right at the 100-day MA but should follow May’s lead.
Has been slacking behind May, but next upside target is $4.60
That is 50% of the sell off and old resistance (refer to big green box)
May Beans 🌱
Inverse head & shoulder pattern still in play.
Could still be a simple re-test of old support (now resistance) before heading lower, but a break above $10.23 would suggest it’s not.
My bias leans higher from here.
Here is a simplier view of the head & shoulders.
Nov Beans 🌱
Chart isn’t as strong as May.
Would need to clear $10.18 to say we very likely put in our bottom.
Inverse H&S shoulders still in play as well.
Remember that pattern we talked about on Monday?
We got that follow through we were looking for.
This is a very good sign. As follow through is crucial for this pattern.
This suggests we go higher from here.
May Chicago 🌾
Bouncing right where we need to.
Simply trapped in this channel.
May KC 🌾
Bouncing right where we needed to.
Still think we continue to hold this massive +7 month support.
Still trapped in a massive range. Everything in between is noise.
Past Sell or Protection Signals
We recently incorporated these. Here are our past signals.
March 19th: 🐮
Cattle hedge & sell signal.
Feb 18th: 🌽 🌾
Old crop KC wheat & old crop corn signal.
Jan 23rd: 🌽 🌱
Corn & beans old crop sell signal.
CLICK HERE TO VIEW
Jan 15th: 🌽 🌱
Corn & beans hedge alert/sell signal.
Jan 2nd: 🐮
Cattle hedge alert at new all-time highs & target.
Dec 11th: 🌽
Corn sell signal at $4.51 200-day MA
CLICK HERE TO VIEW
Oct 2nd: 🌾
Wheat sell signal at $6.12 target
Sep 30th: 🌽
Corn protection signal at $4.23-26
Sep 27th: 🌱
Soybean sell & protection signal at $10.65
Sep 13th: 🌾
Wheat sell signal at $5.98
May 22nd: 🌾
Wheat sell signal when wheat traded +$7.00
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Check Out Past Updates
4/8/25
CORN’S DIVERGING STRENGTH
4/7/25
SOLID PRICE ACTION DESPITE OUTSIDE FEAR
4/4/25
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4/3/25
WHAT IS LEFT FOR CORN BEARS? TRADE WAR: CHARTS HOLDING SUPPORT
4/2/25
SHOULD UNKNOWNS KEEP A FLOOR UNDER GRAIN PRICES?
4/1/25
HOW DO ACRES IMPACT FUTURE OF THE GRAINS?
3/31/25
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3/28/25
ALL EYES ON USDA
3/27/25
PRE-USDA POSITIONING. DON’T GIVE GRAIN AWAY
3/26/25
HISTORY OF MARCH INTENTIONS. SOYBEANS UNDERVALUED?
3/25/25
6 DAYS UNTIL MAJOR USDA REPORT
3/24/25
HOW TO POSITION YOURSELF BEFORE PLANTING
3/21/25
REASONS TO BE OPTIMISTIC IN GRAINS?
3/20/25
WAS THAT THE BOTTOM IN CORN?
3/19/25
THE PATH HIGHER & THE DOWNSIDE RISKS IN GRAINS
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3/17/25
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3/12/25
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3/6/25
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3/5/25
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3/4/25
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3/3/25
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2/27/25
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2/21/25
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2/20/25
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2/6/25
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2/4/25
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2/3/25
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1/31/25
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1/28/25
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1/24/25
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1/23/25
OUR ENTIRE NEW CROP SALES THOUGHTS & OLD CROP SELL SIGNAL
1/22/25
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1/20/25
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1/13/25
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1/10/25
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