SHOULD UNKNOWNS KEEP A FLOOR UNDER GRAIN PRICES?
AUDIO COMMENTARY
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Trump talk this afternoon
Where is money going to flow to?
Could see knee jerk overnight
Fundamentally doesn’t feel like tariffs are a major impact. It appears more like a money flow impact. But the risk is the effect on demand
Markets focus will soon shift to weather
Tight world corn & old crop situation
Everything is going to come back to yield
World is looking for us to fix the corn situation
These extra corn acres aren’t coming from the big areas. Half the increase is coming from the bottom 40% of production
Big unknowns should keep a floor under prices
Until we have this crop in the ground and get an idea on the crop, we have more upside than downside
3rd week of June is that week we seasonally eye
How to use courage calls, floors, & selling calls
How to outperform in a tough marketing year
US is still king of corn. Why the corn seasonals have worked 16/20 years
Time of year it is tough to buy from farmers
Listen to today’s audio below
Want to talk? (605)295-3100
CHARTS
May Corn 🌽
Bouncing right off that 200-day MA past 2 days. That is the key spot we want to hold to keep the bias higher.
We had a bear trap below like we talked about last week.
Next mission for bulls is to break this new mini downtrend, we rejected off of it yesterday.
Once we break that, next upside objective is $4.80
Here is a better visual of the 200-day MA.
As I have mentioned the past few weeks, I think we hold this as it such crucial resistance in the past. So it should be massive support.
Dec Corn 🌽
Back above the 61.8% of the entire rally, found life at the 78.6% level.
Good sign we are back above the 61.8%
Next upside objective is still $4.60
May Beans 🌱
Bouncing right at the 100-day MA. That is the level bulls now want to hold.
It has been a pivotable spot to the upside and downside.
We are now above it, so it is key support.
It should result in a test of the 200-day MA which is where we topped out in Feb and last May.
After that, the door is wide open as we haven’t closed above the 200-day MA in over a year.
Big picture target is currently $11.29
Nov Beans 🌱
Very similar chart to May beans.
Except that target is $11.11 instead
May KC 🌾
Bouncing exactly where we needed to at this 7 month long support.
Next upside objective is $6.34
Just trapped in a massive range.
May Chicago 🌾
Bouncing right where we needed to.
Trapped in a massive channel.
Next upside objective is top of the channel.
Past Sell or Protection Signals
We recently incorporated these. Here are our past signals.
March 19th: 🐮
Cattle hedge & sell signal.
Feb 18th: 🌽 🌾
Old crop KC wheat & old crop corn signal.
Jan 23rd: 🌽 🌱
Corn & beans old crop sell signal.
CLICK HERE TO VIEW
Jan 15th: 🌽 🌱
Corn & beans hedge alert/sell signal.
Jan 2nd: 🐮
Cattle hedge alert at new all-time highs & target.
Dec 11th: 🌽
Corn sell signal at $4.51 200-day MA
CLICK HERE TO VIEW
Oct 2nd: 🌾
Wheat sell signal at $6.12 target
Sep 30th: 🌽
Corn protection signal at $4.23-26
Sep 27th: 🌱
Soybean sell & protection signal at $10.65
Sep 13th: 🌾
Wheat sell signal at $5.98
May 22nd: 🌾
Wheat sell signal when wheat traded +$7.00
Want to Talk?
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Hedge Account
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Check Out Past Updates
4/1/25
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3/31/25
USDA REPORT: NOW WHAT?
3/28/25
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