market comments first day trading 21 hours
Below are market comments.
First off today was the first day of trading from 5:00 at
night to 2:00 the next afternoon. So we won’t be see early calls any more
we will be seeing early trade action reports. The other big thing is how
the markets close and settle. The pit’s still close at 1:15 and the
settle prices are still based on trading price at or around 1:15; even though
the markets trade until 2:00. Today’s price action shows how that will
effect us.
Our bids that we sent out earlier are based on the
settlement prices at 1:15; but if you call us up to sell grain this afternoon
our prices won’t be what is on the bid sheet; at least not until 5:00 p.m. at
which time the markets re-open. Our bids when the markets closed will
take into effect the last trades at 2:00; many other elevators and maybe
someday in the near future grain pricing or the marketing of grain will
probably only be allowed during market hours.
Bottom line is that the CLOSE on grain future prices are now
DIFFERENT then the LAST price. Here are the examples today. KC July
wheat “settled” or “closed” or closed at 7.15; but the last trade at 2:00 was
7.09 ¼ . So if you call us up this afternoon our bid is different then
what our closing bid is at because we are following the last trade.
Someone asked me if that is a direction of what’s going to
happen tonight? Probably but there has always been breaks for the grain
prices and usually they open about where they last traded at; but not always.
If you have questions on the new market hours please feel
free to give us a call. Keep in mind that volume and bid ask spreads
typically get wider once the pit closes and I would say that happened today
also. So prices between 1:15 and 2:00 might be thin at time; perhaps like
MPLS most of the time?
As for the markets today we had a mixed bag; started rather
firm last night but cooled off as the session went on.
The last trades for the grains where down 6 on July corn,
Dec corn last trade was up 2 cents, MPLS wheat had a last trade of up 4 cents,
KC wheat had a last trade of up 4 cents, CBOT last trade of 4 higher, equities
where firmer with the DOW up 1.35 points, the Dollar was softer by 300 with the
cash index at 80.963, and crude up a little over a dollar.
Now keep in mind the above and realize that you might have
heard comments like KC wheat closed up 10 cents which it did.
Bottom line wonderful or not so wonderful changes. At
the end of the day this won’t be all bad; it just seems a little challenging as
we stand right this second.
Please give us a call if there is anything we can do for
you.