BLOOD BATH IN GRAINS: EPA REVERSAL & WEATHER

AUDIO COMMENTARY

  • Blood bath in the grains

  • US court reverses Biden EPA

  • EPA news could play with demand negatively

  • Forecasts will make big difference

  • Weather suppose to be very hot still

  • Charts not damaged despite heavy sell off

  • Grains still higher on the week

  • Still have no confirmation of lows

  • Not bad spot to look to re-own sold corn

  • For those that need to make sales off the combine, this is why we have been preaching puts. What to do if you if you had puts

  • Did we overdue the news today?

  • New lows in wheat, charts don’t look good

  • Winter wheat reccomendation

  • When to sell MPLS & look for Chicago/KC hedge

  • Being creative in marketing. Hedge overvalued. Keep undervalued

  • Selling carries & using inverses

  • Don’t use DP or basis contracts in carry market

  • Weather update below*

Listen to today’s audio below


WEATHER UPDATE FROM BAM

  • Solid rain chances next week across the Midwest and Ohio Valley. For those spots that have missed out the past week or two, there should be good opportunities ahead - though they may also come with severe weather chances.

  • The Western Plains (TX/KS/NE/W. Dakotas) will be hotter than normal and drier than normal over the next 2 weeks. Some expansion of drought or abnormally dry conditions ahead but conditions remain mostly favorable elsewhere.

  • Big key to watch into August will be tropical activity. There may be something to watch late the first week of August in the southeast (would be a hotter/drier Ag Belt risk if it verifies) but confidence is increasing for a very active period mid-late August for the tropics (see image).

Get BAM’s direct weather updates HERE

7-DAY GFS CHANGE VS 12 HOURS AGO

EURO NEXT 10 DAYS RAIN

0-5 DAY TEMP

5-10 DAY TEMP

TUESDAYS MAX TEMPS


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GRAINS SHOW SIGNS OF REVERSALS

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CHINA, DROUGHT, FUNDS & RISK