USDA: NOT A BEARISH REPORT. DISAPPOINTING PRICE ACTION

AUDIO COMMENTARY

  • USDA breakdown

  • Zero changes on US balance sheets

  • Market disappointed didn’t see exports bumped

  • If you haven’t sold anything and still need to move something this could be a trigger

  • If you have to move something in 30-60 days

  • Who should make new crop sales?

  • Old crop led us lower like we’ve talked about

  • World situation for corn is very friendly

  • World situation for wheat is also very friendly

  • Why you protect what’s overvalued

  • Hit $4.72 target Dec-25 corn (chart below)*

  • Made a 5% sale on generic sale tracker for new crop corn (tracker below)*

Listen to todays audio below

Want to talk or put together a market plan? Call or text us anytime:

(605)295-3100

CHARTS

March Corn 🌽

If we get a correction, looking for a bounce in the green box.

Thats the level bulls need to hold to keep an upward bias.

Continuous Corn 🌽

See how major of a spot this $4.97 level is?

It was major support several times, it is now resistance.

Like I mentioned a week or so ago, if we are going to struggle it would make sense to do so here.

If we bust above this level, it opens the door wide open to higher prices.

Big picture target is still $5.37

Dec-25 Corn 🌽

We hit my 2nd target at $4.72

So on my generic sales tracker I did price another 5% at $4.72. Bringing my total to 10% sold.

March Beans 🌱

Bulls would like to bounce right about now, otherwise it could trigger another leg lower.

We could technically drop all the way down to $10.13 to $10 and be fine from a technical standpoint as that would be the 50-61.8% retracement from this rally off the contract lows.

Bulls need to hold that green box however.

Looking to the upside, first upside objective is still another test of that black downward trendline. IF we bust that, then next target is $11.35

Nov-25 Beans 🌱

Next target I am looking to de-risk at is still $10.82

Then the bigger picture “possible” target several months from now is still the $11.50 area.

As it is the implied move from the inverse head & shoulders pattern as well as 78.6% of the May highs.

March Wheat 🌾

If we correct I am looking for a bounce in the green box (50-61.7% retracement of the recent rally). Bulls need to hold that.

Looking to the upside, $6.20 is still my target I am looking at to take risk off the table.

March KC Wheat 🌾

Would like to see us hold that green line at $5.89, but it is not the end of the world if we don’t.

Either way, next target to take risk off is still $6.30


USDA NUMBERS

UPDATED WORLD STOCKS TO USE


Generic Cash Sales Tracker

Due to requests here is our generic cash sales trackers.

This does not include any hedge recommendations etc. Simply cash.

This is futures prices.

For old crop there is no percentages as we only recently started tracking our generic sell signals. Future new crop sales will have percentages as we continue to make sales.

This will be included at the bottom of every update.

*NEW SALE: 5% NEW CROP CORN AT $4.72


Past Sell or Protection Signals

We recently incorporated these. Here are our past signals.


Jan 23rd: 🌽 🌱 

Corn & beans old crop sell signal.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW

Jan 15th: 🌽 🌱 

Corn & beans hedge alert/sell signal.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


Jan 2nd: 🐮 

Cattle hedge alert at new all-time highs & target.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


Dec 11th: 🌽

Corn sell signal at $4.51 200-day MA

CLICK HERE TO VIEW

Oct 2nd: 🌾 

Wheat sell signal at $6.12 target

CLICK HERE TO VIEW
 

Sep 30th: 🌽 

Corn protection signal at $4.23-26

CLICK HERE TO VIEW
 

Sep 27th: 🌱 

Soybean sell & protection signal at $10.65

CLICK HERE TO VIEW
 

Sep 13th: 🌾 

Wheat sell signal at $5.98

CLICK HERE TO VIEW
 

May 22nd: 🌾 

Wheat sell signal when wheat traded +$7.00

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


Want to Talk?

Our phones are open 24/7 for you guys if you ever need anything or want to discuss your operation.

(605) 295-3100

sfrost@dailymarketminute.com


Hedge Account

Interested in a hedge account? Use the link below to set up an account or shoot Jeremey a call at (605)295-3100.

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USDA TOMORROW. LONG TERM PATH FOR SUB 10% CORN STOCKS TO USE?