UGLY DAY: BRAZIL, RISKS, & GRAIN MARKETING STRATEGIES

CLOSING GRAIN AUDIO COMMENTARY

  • Brazil got rains and the forecasts show cool/wet, which pressured soybean prices today.

  • Bean estimates dropping, so crop production estimates are getting smaller. But is it getting small enough to where it will cause enough demand to ration US Soybean prices?

  • What Brazil yield is priced into the futures market?

  • Bean prices hammered yet future spreads firmed, is friendly fundamentally speaking.

  • Need to sell? Here is some grain market strategies and possible trades using futures and options.

  • List of various grain marketing hedging strategies for both bulls & bears in various commodities.

  • New lows in March corn futures, what the bulls need to reverse the present down trend

  • Is the Brazil corn situation in regards to production loss underrated? How much export business will shift to the USA from Brazil because of this? When will China start purchasing more MMT of corn?

  • Risks this year in grains, particularly in corn prices should we grow an above trend line yield.

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BRAZIL WEATHER WOES: CORN & SOYBEAN PRODUCTION FORECASTS FOR 2023/24

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SHORT TERM RISK & LONG TERM UPSIDE IN THE GRAINS