HOW TO POSITION YOURSELF BEFORE PLANTING
AUDIO COMMENTARY
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3rd biggest report of year week from today
The acre survey is kind of garbage
Actual acres based on weather & prices when you plant etc
More acres usually means lower yield
Need a type of spring that will allow ton of corn
Nobody is talking about stock numbers
Old to new crop spread is a play to consider
Won’t be farmer selling unless we run up
Reasons why the spread could continue to firm
What do the funds want to do here?
Where should wheat bounce? (chart below)*
Cattle looks toppy after target hit (chart below)*
The highs in cattle “could” definitely be in
How to utilize what is overvalued vs undervalued?
What to look at when you are selling in the future. “How” to sell
Eyeing May-June to make sales & protect
Courage calls, planting pressure & scares
How to properly position yourself ahead of planting
Listen to today’s audio below
Want to talk? (605)295-3100
CHARTS
May Corn 🌽
Essentially sideways. Need to hold the $4.55 level and the 200-day MA. That is our must hold level to keep bulls bias higher.
To the upside, next major resistance is $4.80
For a more in depth breakdown check out last Thursdays update as nothing has really changed.
I still think we likely hold that level.
Dec Corn 🌽
Similar set up, need to hold $4.47. We are stuck right in the golden zone of the entire rally.
Upside point of interest is $4.60
May Beans 🌱
Right at that must hold level.
This was massive support for several months.
It is also 61.8% of the entire rally.
We held this support since August outside of the one hiccup in Dec, so it would make sense to hold here. But if we do not, there is no support until the contract lows.
A break above the 100-day would be an indication we have put in our lows. That has been key resistance several times.
Nov Beans 🌱
Chart is exactly the same as May beans
May KC 🌾
As mentioned last week, I am looking for a bounce around here to $5.70
As a spec, $5.70 is where I would personally be looking to bid
That is 61.8% of the entire recent rally (aka golden retracement)
May Chicago 🌾
Simply trapped in this channel
Now once again in the support box
April Feeder 🐮
Hit the golden fib extension target (161.8% of the first rally)
Looks like we might reject right here almost perfectly
Chart looks due for a correction
Past Sell or Protection Signals
We recently incorporated these. Here are our past signals.
March 19th: 🐮
Cattle hedge & sell signal.
Feb 18th: 🌽 🌾
Old crop KC wheat & old crop corn signal.
Jan 23rd: 🌽 🌱
Corn & beans old crop sell signal.
CLICK HERE TO VIEW
Jan 15th: 🌽 🌱
Corn & beans hedge alert/sell signal.
Jan 2nd: 🐮
Cattle hedge alert at new all-time highs & target.
Dec 11th: 🌽
Corn sell signal at $4.51 200-day MA
CLICK HERE TO VIEW
Oct 2nd: 🌾
Wheat sell signal at $6.12 target
Sep 30th: 🌽
Corn protection signal at $4.23-26
Sep 27th: 🌱
Soybean sell & protection signal at $10.65
Sep 13th: 🌾
Wheat sell signal at $5.98
May 22nd: 🌾
Wheat sell signal when wheat traded +$7.00
Want to Talk?
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Check Out Past Updates
3/21/25
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3/20/25
WAS THAT THE BOTTOM IN CORN?
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3/7/25
HOW TIGHT IS THE WORLD & US SITUATION?
3/6/25
TARIFFS PUSHED BACK. FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES?
3/5/25
IS GRAINS BIGGEST RISK WEAK CRUDE & DEFLATION?
3/4/25
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2/28/25
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COMPLETE THOUGHTS ON MARKETS: BACK & FORTH DISCUSSION
2/4/25
STRONG JANUARY LEAD TO STRONG YEAR? TARIFFS, CHARTS & MORE
2/3/25
TARIFFS PUSHED BACK
1/31/25
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OUR ENTIRE NEW CROP SALES THOUGHTS & OLD CROP SELL SIGNAL
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1/8/25
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1/6/25
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1/3/25
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