PREPARING FOR THE USDA REPORT
AUDIO COMMENTARY
How much will the USDA yield change yield?
Will demand numbers follow yield?
Remember: buy low, sell high
Chinese corn flooding
Do you have plan for the report? Hedge accounts open?
Strategies going into report (Scroll to read)
USDA REPORT STRATEGIES
Here are a few ways to navigate things ahead of tomorrow’s report utilizing different tools.
Benefit of buying an option before the report is to make you feel comfortable, and doing it proactively instead of chasing the market.
Reasons you should buy calls?
If you are oversold because your yields are going to be light.
To re-own previous sales
As a courage call
Reasons you should buy puts?
If you are undersold to protect from lower prices
Corn 🌽
Buying Sept calls for re-ownerhsip seems to make sense. It looks like the 4.85 calls are 10-11 cents and the 5.00 calls are 5-6 cents.
If you are under protection or nervous about the USDA printing an increase you can buy 4.85 puts for around 12 cents and 4.70 puts for are 6 cents.
The options expire on 8-25 which covers one past the pro farmer crop tour
Beans 🌱
We like using the short dated new crop options that expire on Aug 25
For re-ownership we like buying anything from the 13.20 for 21 cents all the way up to the 14.00 for 3 cents.
For those of you needing protection you can look at the same short dated new crop sept bean puts with the 13.20 costing 24 cents and the 12.80 about 9 cents
If you want help utilizing one of these or specific advice, don’t hesitate to shoot us a call or text at (605)295-3100.
USDA SALE ENDS IN 2 DAYS
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USDA REPORT ESTIMATES
Check Out Past Updates
8/9/23 - Market Update
TRADE PREPARES FOR USDA REPORT
8/8/23 - Audio
MARKETS PUT BANDAID ON THE BLEEDING
8/7/23 - Market Update
BEANS SELL OFF WHILE WHEAT RALLIES
8/7/23 - Audio
NAVIGATING WEATHER & WAR YOYO
8/6/23 - Weekly Grain Newsletter
ARE YOU READY FOR THE NEXT BIG MOVE?
8/4/23 - Audio
CAN OUR MARKETS BOUNCE ONE MORE TIME?
8/3/23 - Market Update
YIELD, DROUGHT UPDATE, TIME FOR CALLS?
8/3/23 - Audio
BUYING RECOMMENDATIONS
8/2/23 - Audio
WEATHER & WAR VOLATILITY CONTINUES
8/1/23 - Weekly Grain Newsletter