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South America Weather, Trump, & inflation
Approaching $5.00 implied move of ascending triangle we’ve talked about since back in December (chart below)*
We don’t know crop sizes and what Trump will do to the demand
Not many thought corn would be $5. We did
When funds this long, “usually” we go higher
Best strategy for most of you
Make sure you are comfortable
Russia wheat exports down 20-30%
Do not like selling wheat here
Brazil 2nd corn crop is backed up. Big factor
Why the corn market “could” get crazy
Did not like spread action in soybeans today
Do not like corn Mar-July spread
Why farmers could be more sold than usual
Corns has posted its first higher high since April 2022 (chart below)*
Beans bounced right where they needed to (chart below)*
All chart breakdowns below*

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CHART BREAKDOWNS

March Corn 🌽

Here is the asending triangle I have been talking about since December

$4.99 is the implied move, and we are almost there

The move is calculated by taking the range of the triangle ($0.48) and adding it to the point of breakout ($4.51)

$4.51 + $0.48 = $4.99

Here is continuous corn.

We are trading at our highest levels since Oct 2023.

Posting our first higher high since April 2022.

This is a big deal.

The big picture possible upside objective is the next fib level at $5.37 (38.2% of 2022 highs)

Here is a weekly view of the same chart.

Dec-25 Corn 🌽

We are blasting past the 50% fib to the May highs at $4.64

Next target is $4.72

March Beans 🌱

We bounced exactly where we needed to keep the bulls hope alive and the bias remaining higher short term.

Bouncing right at the golden zone (50-61.8% retracement) of the recent rally

Next upside objective is the $10.80 area

Nov-25 Beans 🌱

Blasted past the 38.2% retracement of the May highs

Next target is the 50% at $10.82

Continuous Wheat 🌾

Think we eventually breakout to the upside here

Green support box held once again

KC March 🌾

Once again testing that blue downward trend

A bust above and it looks like wheat might finally catch a bid

Generic Cash Sales Tracker

Due to requests here is our generic cash sales trackers.

This does not include any hedge recommendations etc. Simply cash.

This is futures prices.

For old crop there is no percentages as we only recently started tracking our generic sell signals. Future new crop sales will have percentages as we continue to make sales.

This will be included at the bottom of every update.