POSSIBLE RISKS & OUTCOMES THIS USDA REPORT COULD HAVE
AUDIO COMMENTARY
Failed technical breakthroughs
Rain pushing into eastern corn belt
Will USDA have something positive?
Are there any beans for sale?
Will we see +90 million acres?
Longer term we have lost acres
Less acres means more important weather. More acres means less important weather
Why I could see stocks lower
Could both bean & corn acres be low?
Is there a chance for a counter seasonal rally?
Funds 2nd shortest ever for this date
We could see record yield but see carryout decrease
We haven’t had a real pricing opportunity
A counter seasonal rally will be demand driven. Demand driven last longer than supply driven
Not too interested in 2025 sales here
The biggest risk in this USDA report
Lots of negativity priced in for USDA
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6/24/24
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WET SPRINGS DON’T CREATE RECORD YIELDS, DO THEY?
5/23/24
MANAGE RISK DESPITE STUPID PRICE POTENTIAL IN GRAINS
5/22/24
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5/20/24
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CORRECTIONS ARE HEALTHY
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5/9/24
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USDA IN 2 DAYS
5/7/24
WHO SHOULD WAIT FOR TRIGGERS NOT TARGETS
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5/6/24
GRAINS HIGHEST IN 4 MONTHS
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5/3/24
SEASONAL RALLY JUST BEGINNING OR BULL TRAP?
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ARE THE TIDES STARTING TO TURN?
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