HUGE USDA REPORT MONDAY

AUDIO COMMENTARY

  • Report Monday looking for yield increases

  • Everyone looking for 182-183 corn yield

  • Looking for bean yield up +1

  • Opposite action of 2012?

  • Could we print our biggest numbers Monday?

  • How much is priced in?

  • We could definitely see $3.20 Sep corn. That’s a real risk

  • Reality is we can get cheaper with bad report

  • Mondays report is HUGE

  • Tremendous downside & upside in report

  • Most see lower acres & higher yields

  • No one expects lower yield

  • At the bottom range of support

  • Soybeans need China to buy

  • If have to move stuff off the combine

  • Sitting right at support (Charts below)*

Listen to today’s audio below

Charts

Dec Corn 🌽

As I have been mentioning for weeks, if we cannot hold this $4.00 level our next stop is very likely going to be $3.80.

Right now we are sitting right at $4.00

So far we have found good support each time we fall under $4.00. Will have to see if it can continue. If this level fails $3.80 is the implied downside target.

So if your risk is lower, protect it if this level breaks.

Nov Soybeans 🌱

Similar to corn, we are sitting right at support at $10.18.

If this level fails we will likely see us at least test the $10.00 psychological support.

As I have been mentioning for weeks, our big picture downside risk is $9.61. As that was our trade war resistance.

Sep Chicago Wheat 🌾

Wheat chart looks friendlier than corn & beans right now.

Before today, we posted 5 days of higher highs.

We are still stuck in this 30 cent range between $5.24 and $5.53.

Once we break out of this range it will look really good.

However, to be confident we have found a low I still need to preferably see $5.67.

Upside targets after that are $6.00 and our 50% retracement from the Russia rally which is $6.25


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WHEAT UNDERVALUED? CORN YIELD? WHAT TO DO WITH GRAIN OFF COMBINE