TRUMP & BRAZIL HURDLES

AUDIO COMMENTARY

  • Biggest hurdle is Trump unknowns

  • Brazil weather has been ideal

  • Ideas that Brazil beans growing

  • Beans NEED to hold here (Chart below)*

  • If somehow demand continues after Trump

  • Using a sideways volatile market your advantage

  • Do 2025 sales make sense for you?

  • How prices could go lower

  • We are levels where I don’t want to bet we “have” to go lower

  • A lot of demand is there. Longer term that’s what you want

  • Wheat posts new lows in some contracts

  • Russia almost out of selling wheat

  • Next wheat support? (Chart below)*

  • Bullish corn chart? (Chart below)*

  • Talk about lower carry out next WASDE

  • All chart breakdowns below*

Listen to today’s audio below

Want to talk? (605)295-3100

CHART BREAKDOWNS

March Corn 🌽

We bounced right in that golden zone (50-61.8% retracement from $4.14 to $4.48) like I said we might do last week. So good action thus far.

Currently we are sitting in a symmetrical triangle (pattern on the right).

This is neither bullish nor bearish. To confirm the next move, we need a break out of this blue triangle. If we bust higher we likely get a continuation higher. If we bust below, we make a leg lower.

The next spot I’m looking to re-hedge or make sales if you need to is the 200-day MA and that black channel. A little over $4.50

Jan Beans 🌱

Beans still NEED to hold these lows.

If we do not, the implied move is well below $9.00 (descending triangle pattern on the left)

To negate this set up, we have to bust that downward trend line.

My next spot I would look to re-hedge or make some sales is going to be if we touch that black downard trendline again. (Around $10.70 or so right now)

Here is a monthly look at beans. This shows the March contract.

$9.61 is a CRUCIAL level to hold.

That was the trade war resistance. Hopefully it will now turn into support.

If that level fails, $8.50 was the trade war support area.

March Chicago 🌾

Still flirting with those lows. Would like to hold here.

If we break these lows, the next support might be that green downward trendline.

To say we are done going down, I would need to see $5.85. Otherwise we are trying to catch a falling knife.

March KC 🌾

Almost an idential chart to Chicago.

Would like to bounce here.

If we do not, the next support could very well be that downward trend line support.


Past Sell or Protection Signals

We recently incorporated these. Here are our past signals.

Oct 2nd: 🌾 

Wheat sell signal at $6.12 target

CLICK HERE TO VIEW
 

Sep 30th: 🌽 

Corn protection signal at $4.23-26

CLICK HERE TO VIEW
 

Sep 27th: 🌱 

Soybean sell & protection signal at $10.65

CLICK HERE TO VIEW
 

Sep 13th: 🌾 

Wheat sell signal at $5.98

CLICK HERE TO VIEW
 

May 22nd: 🌾 

Wheat sell signal when wheat traded +$7.00

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


Want to Talk?

Our phones are open 24/7 for you guys if you ever need anything or want to discuss your operation.

(605) 295-3100

sfrost@dailymarketminute.com


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Check Out Past Updates

11/27/24

CORN SPREADS, CRUCIAL SPOT FOR BEANS, SEASONALITY SAYS BUY

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11/26/24

TARIFF TALK PRESSURE

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11/25/24

HOLIDAY TRADE, SEASONALS, TARGETS & DOWNSIDE RISKS

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11/22/24

CORN TARGETS & CHINA CONCERNS

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11/21/24

BEANS NEAR LOWS. CORN NEAR HIGHS. 2025 SALE THOUGHTS

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11/19/24

WHAT’S NEXT FOR GRAINS

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11/18/24

WHEAT LEADS THE GRAINS REBOUND

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11/15/24

BIG BOUNCE, FUNDS LONG CORN, DOLLAR & DEMAND

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11/14/24

3RD DAY OF GRAINS FALL OUT

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11/13/24

GRAINS CONTINUE WEAKNESS & DOLLAR CONTINUES RALLY

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 11/12/24

ANOTHER POOR PERFORMANCE IN GRAINS

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11/11/24

POOR ACTION IN GRAINS POST FRIENDLY USDA

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11/8/24

USDA FRIENDLY BUT GRAINS WELL OFF HIGHS

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11/6/24

GRAINS STORM BACK POST TRADE WAR FEAR

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11/5/24

ALL ABOUT THE ELECTION & VIDEO CHART UDPATE

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11/4/24

ELECTION TOMORROW

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11/1/24

GRAINS WAITING ON NEWS

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10/31/24

ELECTION & USDA NEXT WEEK

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10/30/24

SEASONALS, CORN DEMAND, BRAZIL REAL & MORE

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10/29/24

WHAT’S NEXT AFTER HARVEST?

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10/25/24

POOR PRICE ACTION & SPREADS WEAKEN

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10/24/24

BIG BUYERS WANT CORN?

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10/23/24

6TH STRAIGHT DAY OF CORN SALES

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10/22/24

STRONG DEMAND & TECHNICAL BUYING FOR GRAINS

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10/21/24

SPREADS, BASIS CONTRACTS, STRONG CORN, BIG SALES

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10/18/24

BEANS & WHEAT HAMMERED

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10/17/24

OPTIMISTIC PRICE ACTION IN GRAINS

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10/16/24

BEANS CONTINUE DOWNFALL. CORN & WHEAT FIND SUPPORT

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10/15/24

MORE PAIN FOR GRAINS

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10/14/24

GRAINS SMACKED. BEANS BREAK $10.00

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10/10/24

USDA TOMORROW

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10/9/24

MARKETING STYLES, USDA RISK, & FEED NEEDS

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10/8/24

BEANS FALL APART

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10/7/24

FLOORS, RISKS, & POTENTIAL UPSIDE

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10/4/24

HEDGE PRESSURE

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10/3/24

GRAINS TAKE A STEP BACK

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10/2/24

CORN & WHEAT CONTINUE RUN

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10/1/24

CORN & WHEAT POST MULTI-MONTH HIGHS

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9/30/24

BULLISH USDA FOR CORN: RECOMMENDATION

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BEANS HOLDING DESPITE LACK OF BULLISH STORY

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CORN SPREADS, CRUCIAL SPOT FOR BEANS, SEASONALITY SAYS BUY