TRUMP & BRAZIL HURDLES
AUDIO COMMENTARY
Biggest hurdle is Trump unknowns
Brazil weather has been ideal
Ideas that Brazil beans growing
Beans NEED to hold here (Chart below)*
If somehow demand continues after Trump
Using a sideways volatile market your advantage
Do 2025 sales make sense for you?
How prices could go lower
We are levels where I don’t want to bet we “have” to go lower
A lot of demand is there. Longer term that’s what you want
Wheat posts new lows in some contracts
Russia almost out of selling wheat
Next wheat support? (Chart below)*
Bullish corn chart? (Chart below)*
Talk about lower carry out next WASDE
All chart breakdowns below*
Listen to today’s audio below
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CHART BREAKDOWNS
March Corn 🌽
We bounced right in that golden zone (50-61.8% retracement from $4.14 to $4.48) like I said we might do last week. So good action thus far.
Currently we are sitting in a symmetrical triangle (pattern on the right).
This is neither bullish nor bearish. To confirm the next move, we need a break out of this blue triangle. If we bust higher we likely get a continuation higher. If we bust below, we make a leg lower.
The next spot I’m looking to re-hedge or make sales if you need to is the 200-day MA and that black channel. A little over $4.50
Jan Beans 🌱
Beans still NEED to hold these lows.
If we do not, the implied move is well below $9.00 (descending triangle pattern on the left)
To negate this set up, we have to bust that downward trend line.
My next spot I would look to re-hedge or make some sales is going to be if we touch that black downard trendline again. (Around $10.70 or so right now)
Here is a monthly look at beans. This shows the March contract.
$9.61 is a CRUCIAL level to hold.
That was the trade war resistance. Hopefully it will now turn into support.
If that level fails, $8.50 was the trade war support area.
March Chicago 🌾
Still flirting with those lows. Would like to hold here.
If we break these lows, the next support might be that green downward trendline.
To say we are done going down, I would need to see $5.85. Otherwise we are trying to catch a falling knife.
March KC 🌾
Almost an idential chart to Chicago.
Would like to bounce here.
If we do not, the next support could very well be that downward trend line support.
Past Sell or Protection Signals
We recently incorporated these. Here are our past signals.
Oct 2nd: 🌾
Wheat sell signal at $6.12 target
Sep 30th: 🌽
Corn protection signal at $4.23-26
Sep 27th: 🌱
Soybean sell & protection signal at $10.65
Sep 13th: 🌾
Wheat sell signal at $5.98
May 22nd: 🌾
Wheat sell signal when wheat traded +$7.00
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Check Out Past Updates
11/27/24
CORN SPREADS, CRUCIAL SPOT FOR BEANS, SEASONALITY SAYS BUY
11/26/24
TARIFF TALK PRESSURE
11/25/24
HOLIDAY TRADE, SEASONALS, TARGETS & DOWNSIDE RISKS
11/22/24
CORN TARGETS & CHINA CONCERNS
11/21/24
BEANS NEAR LOWS. CORN NEAR HIGHS. 2025 SALE THOUGHTS
11/19/24
WHAT’S NEXT FOR GRAINS
11/18/24
WHEAT LEADS THE GRAINS REBOUND
11/15/24
BIG BOUNCE, FUNDS LONG CORN, DOLLAR & DEMAND
11/14/24
3RD DAY OF GRAINS FALL OUT
11/13/24
GRAINS CONTINUE WEAKNESS & DOLLAR CONTINUES RALLY
11/12/24
ANOTHER POOR PERFORMANCE IN GRAINS
11/11/24
POOR ACTION IN GRAINS POST FRIENDLY USDA
11/8/24
USDA FRIENDLY BUT GRAINS WELL OFF HIGHS
11/6/24
GRAINS STORM BACK POST TRADE WAR FEAR
11/5/24
ALL ABOUT THE ELECTION & VIDEO CHART UDPATE
11/4/24
ELECTION TOMORROW
11/1/24
GRAINS WAITING ON NEWS
10/31/24
ELECTION & USDA NEXT WEEK
10/30/24
SEASONALS, CORN DEMAND, BRAZIL REAL & MORE
10/29/24
WHAT’S NEXT AFTER HARVEST?
10/25/24
POOR PRICE ACTION & SPREADS WEAKEN
10/24/24
BIG BUYERS WANT CORN?
10/23/24
6TH STRAIGHT DAY OF CORN SALES
10/22/24
STRONG DEMAND & TECHNICAL BUYING FOR GRAINS
10/21/24
SPREADS, BASIS CONTRACTS, STRONG CORN, BIG SALES
10/18/24
BEANS & WHEAT HAMMERED
10/17/24
OPTIMISTIC PRICE ACTION IN GRAINS
10/16/24
BEANS CONTINUE DOWNFALL. CORN & WHEAT FIND SUPPORT
10/15/24
MORE PAIN FOR GRAINS
10/14/24
GRAINS SMACKED. BEANS BREAK $10.00
10/10/24
USDA TOMORROW
10/9/24
MARKETING STYLES, USDA RISK, & FEED NEEDS
10/8/24
BEANS FALL APART
10/7/24
FLOORS, RISKS, & POTENTIAL UPSIDE
10/4/24
HEDGE PRESSURE
10/3/24
GRAINS TAKE A STEP BACK
10/2/24
CORN & WHEAT CONTINUE RUN
10/1/24
CORN & WHEAT POST MULTI-MONTH HIGHS
9/30/24