TRUMP, CHINA, ARGY & USING THE SPREADS INVERSE
AUDIO COMMENTARY
China relationship news helped
Weather forecasts in Argy helped
Think Trump could be favorable to demand
Stages set for extreme volatility
At some point corn could get a big correction
Not enough demand to go straight up right now
We are not in a corn weather market
There is potential for new crop at some point
Why I do not like touching new crop corn for the majority of you
Why I like protecting overvalued old crop corn
Dec-25 was at a premium to July-25, now its at a 40 cent discount
Have the spreads working for you
Why I like Feb puts not farther out puts
If the market gets hammered, new crop won’t bleed like old crop
A move that makes money in bear markets
Corn hit our $4.85 target (charts below)*
3 reasons why $4.85 was target (below)*
Beans bounce in golden zone (chart below)*
Listen to todays audio below
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CHARTS
March Corn 🌽
We hit my $4.85 target I have had for a while.
Scroll to see 3 reasons why this was my target.
Reason #1:
$4.82 was the 161.8% golden fib extension of the entire inital move from the contract lows of $4.03 to that Sep rally highs of $4.51
Reason #2
It is 78.6% of the May highs
We smashed through the 61.8% and 50% retracements
This was the next logical stop
Reason #3
$4.85 was the conservative implied move of this asending triangle breakout I have been talking about for months now.
The aggresive implied move brings us to $4.99
Wanted to include this as well.
We broke the massive downward trend from Oct 2023.
Good win for the bulls.
March Beans 🌱
Bounced exactly where we needed to in the golden zone (50-61.8% retracements of the recent rally)
Need to continue to hold this green box, if not we likely test the heavy $9.89 support (red line)
Next “possible” upside objective is the black downward trendline.
Continuous Wheat 🌾
Nothing to update here.
Waiting to see if we can bust the green downward trend we have respected since May.
Need to continue to hold the green support box.
Whichever gives out first will give us our next move.
KC Wheat 🌾
Same story here.
Need to hold green box.
Need to bust red downward trendline.
Past Sell & Protection Signals
We recently incorporated these. Here are our past signals.
Jan 15th: 🌽 🌱
Corn & beans hedge alert/sell signal.
Jan 2nd: 🐮
Cattle hedge alert at new all-time highs & target.
CLICK HERE TO VIEW
Dec 11: 🌽
Corn sell signal at $4.51 200-day MA
Oct 2nd: 🌾
Wheat sell signal at $6.12 target
Sep 30th: 🌽
Corn protection signal at $4.23-26
Sep 27th: 🌱
Soybean sell & protection signal at $10.65
Sep 13th: 🌾
Wheat sell signal at $5.98
May 22nd: 🌾
Wheat sell signal when wheat traded +$7.00
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Hedge Account
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Check Out Past Updates
1/16/25
OLD CROP LEADS US LOWER. MARKETING THOUGHTS
1/15/25
SIGNAL & HEDGE ALERT QUESTIONS EXPLAINED. IS $6 CORN EVEN POSSIBLE?
1/14/25
MORE DETAILS ON TODAYS HEDGE ALERT & SELL SIGNAL
1/14/25
CORN & SOYBEANS HEDGE ALERT/SELL SIGNAL
1/13/25
USDA GAME CHANGER OR NOT?
1/10/25
BULLISH USDA FOR CORN & BEANS
1/9/25
USDA OUT TOMORROW
1/8/25
2 DAYS UNTIL USDA. BE PREPARED
1/7/25
THE HISTORY OF THE JAN USDA & MORE
1/6/25
MAJOR USDA REPORT FRIDAY
1/2/25
LONG TERM CORN UPTREND? JANUARY DROP OFF IN BEANS? LONG TERM WHEAT FACTORS
1/2/25
CATTLE HEDGE ALERT
12/31/24
MASSIVE DAY FOR GRAINS. FLOORS? 2025 SALES? GAME PLAN? CHART BREAKDOWNS
12/30/24
GRAINS FADE EARLY HIGHS
12/27/24
STILL LONG TERM UPSIDE POTENTIAL, BUT TAKE ADVANTAGE OF 6 MONTH CORN HIGH
12/26/24
CORN ABOVE 200-DAY MA. ARGY DRY. BEANS +44 CENTS OFF LOWS
12/23/24
CORN & BEANS TALE OF 2 STORIES. BEANS REJECT OLD SUPPORT
Read More
12/20/24
PERFECT BOUNCE IN CORN. SIMPLE BEAN BACKTEST BEFORE LOWER?
12/19/24
THE SOYBEAN PROBLEM. NEW WHEAT LOWS. CORN UPTREND
12/18/24
BEANS BREAK SUPPORT & OPEN FLOOD GATES
12/17/24
SINK OR SWIM TIME FOR SOYBEANS
12/16/24
SOYBEANS & WHEAT FIGHTING LOWS. WILL CORN DEMAND CONTINUE
12/13/24
POST USDA COOL OFF
12/12/24
CORN CORRECTION. WHY WE ALERTED SELL SIGNAL YESTERDAY
12/11/24
USDA PRICED IN? FAIR VALUE OF CORN? BEAN BREAKOUT?
12/11/24
CORN SELL SIGNAL
12/10/24
USDA BREAKDOWN
12/9/24
USDA TOMORROW
12/6/24
CORN TRYING TO BREAKOUT. MAKING MARKETING DECISIONS
12/5/24
OPTIMISTIC BOUNCE IN GRAINS
12/4/24
WHEAT UNDERVALUED? MOST RISK IN BEANS. HAVE A GAME PLAN
12/3/24
BEANS HOLDING DESPITE LACK OF BULLISH STORY
12/2/24
TRUMP & BRAZIL HURDLES
11/27/24
CORN SPREADS, CRUCIAL SPOT FOR BEANS, SEASONALITY SAYS BUY
11/26/24
TARIFF TALK PRESSURE
11/25/24
HOLIDAY TRADE, SEASONALS, TARGETS & DOWNSIDE RISKS
11/22/24
CORN TARGETS & CHINA CONCERNS
11/21/24
BEANS NEAR LOWS. CORN NEAR HIGHS. 2025 SALE THOUGHTS
11/19/24
WHAT’S NEXT FOR GRAINS
11/18/24
WHEAT LEADS THE GRAINS REBOUND
11/15/24
BIG BOUNCE, FUNDS LONG CORN, DOLLAR & DEMAND
11/14/24
3RD DAY OF GRAINS FALL OUT
11/13/24
GRAINS CONTINUE WEAKNESS & DOLLAR CONTINUES RALLY
11/12/24
ANOTHER POOR PERFORMANCE IN GRAINS
11/11/24
POOR ACTION IN GRAINS POST FRIENDLY USDA
11/8/24
USDA FRIENDLY BUT GRAINS WELL OFF HIGHS
11/6/24
GRAINS STORM BACK POST TRADE WAR FEAR
11/5/24
ALL ABOUT THE ELECTION & VIDEO CHART UDPATE
11/4/24
ELECTION TOMORROW
11/1/24
GRAINS WAITING ON NEWS
10/31/24
ELECTION & USDA NEXT WEEK
10/30/24
SEASONALS, CORN DEMAND, BRAZIL REAL & MORE
10/29/24
WHAT’S NEXT AFTER HARVEST?
10/25/24
POOR PRICE ACTION & SPREADS WEAKEN
10/24/24
BIG BUYERS WANT CORN?
10/23/24
6TH STRAIGHT DAY OF CORN SALES
10/22/24
STRONG DEMAND & TECHNICAL BUYING FOR GRAINS
10/21/24
SPREADS, BASIS CONTRACTS, STRONG CORN, BIG SALES
10/18/24
BEANS & WHEAT HAMMERED
10/17/24
OPTIMISTIC PRICE ACTION IN GRAINS
10/16/24
BEANS CONTINUE DOWNFALL. CORN & WHEAT FIND SUPPORT
10/15/24
MORE PAIN FOR GRAINS
10/14/24
GRAINS SMACKED. BEANS BREAK $10.00
10/10/24
USDA TOMORROW
10/9/24
MARKETING STYLES, USDA RISK, & FEED NEEDS
10/8/24
BEANS FALL APART
10/7/24
FLOORS, RISKS, & POTENTIAL UPSIDE
10/4/24
HEDGE PRESSURE
10/3/24
GRAINS TAKE A STEP BACK
10/2/24
CORN & WHEAT CONTINUE RUN
10/1/24
CORN & WHEAT POST MULTI-MONTH HIGHS
9/30/24