SIGNAL & HEDGE ALERT QUESTIONS EXPLAINED. IS $6 CORN EVEN POSSIBLE?
AUDIO COMMENTARY
Corn continues higher while beans pause
Crude oil posts new contract highs
No grains took out yesterdays highs
Beans more in weather market than corn
Even if SA crop gets smaller its still massive
People forget we have massive world demand
I don’t think beans “have” to get dramatically cheaper. There is definitely risk but the market is aware of the problems
Still like having protection for bushels that need to move by end of March and new crop you usually sell before March
Spread action was friendly in corn & beans
Why don’t we love making 2025 sales here?
Why we like the Feb puts the most vs Mar/May
Where is the strength coming from in corn?
The corn fundamentals have completely changed the past few months
$6 corn isn’t “probable” but it’s “possible”
Charts below audio*
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CHARTS
March Corn 🌽
Next target is still $4.85
If we get a correction I am looking for a bounce in the green box. The 50-61.8% retracements of the recent rally.
March Beans 🌱
If we get a correction we need a bounce in the green box to maintain a higher bias. The 50-61.8% retracements of the recent rally.
If we were to continue higher, the next point of interest and possible target would be a 3rd test of that black downward trendline in the $10.80 or so area.
March Wheat 🌾
Still think we are in a falling wedge pattern, but we have yet to get a decisive move out of here.
Think wheat’s time will come eventually.
Have zero interest making any wheat sales down here.
We could still make another low but there is more upside than downside here.
March KC 🌾
We tried to break out of this recent downtrend but failed.
Need a decisive move higher to confirm breakout.
Support remains in that green box. Need to hold there.
Past Sell & Protection Signals
We recently incorporated these. Here are our past signals.
Jan 15th: 🌽 🌱
Corn & beans hedge alert/sell signal.
Jan 2nd: 🐮
Cattle hedge alert at new all-time highs & target.
CLICK HERE TO VIEW
Dec 11: 🌽
Corn sell signal at $4.51 200-day MA
Oct 2nd: 🌾
Wheat sell signal at $6.12 target
Sep 30th: 🌽
Corn protection signal at $4.23-26
Sep 27th: 🌱
Soybean sell & protection signal at $10.65
Sep 13th: 🌾
Wheat sell signal at $5.98
May 22nd: 🌾
Wheat sell signal when wheat traded +$7.00
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Check Out Past Updates
1/14/25
MORE DETAILS ON TODAYS HEDGE ALERT & SELL SIGNAL
1/14/25
CORN & SOYBEANS HEDGE ALERT/SELL SIGNAL
1/13/25
USDA GAME CHANGER OR NOT?
1/10/25
BULLISH USDA FOR CORN & BEANS
1/9/25
USDA OUT TOMORROW
1/8/25
2 DAYS UNTIL USDA. BE PREPARED
1/7/25
THE HISTORY OF THE JAN USDA & MORE
1/6/25
MAJOR USDA REPORT FRIDAY
1/2/25
LONG TERM CORN UPTREND? JANUARY DROP OFF IN BEANS? LONG TERM WHEAT FACTORS
1/2/25
CATTLE HEDGE ALERT
12/31/24
MASSIVE DAY FOR GRAINS. FLOORS? 2025 SALES? GAME PLAN? CHART BREAKDOWNS
12/30/24
GRAINS FADE EARLY HIGHS
12/27/24
STILL LONG TERM UPSIDE POTENTIAL, BUT TAKE ADVANTAGE OF 6 MONTH CORN HIGH
12/26/24
CORN ABOVE 200-DAY MA. ARGY DRY. BEANS +44 CENTS OFF LOWS
12/23/24
CORN & BEANS TALE OF 2 STORIES. BEANS REJECT OLD SUPPORT
Read More
12/20/24
PERFECT BOUNCE IN CORN. SIMPLE BEAN BACKTEST BEFORE LOWER?
12/19/24
THE SOYBEAN PROBLEM. NEW WHEAT LOWS. CORN UPTREND
12/18/24
BEANS BREAK SUPPORT & OPEN FLOOD GATES
12/17/24
SINK OR SWIM TIME FOR SOYBEANS
12/16/24
SOYBEANS & WHEAT FIGHTING LOWS. WILL CORN DEMAND CONTINUE
12/13/24
POST USDA COOL OFF
12/12/24
CORN CORRECTION. WHY WE ALERTED SELL SIGNAL YESTERDAY
12/11/24
USDA PRICED IN? FAIR VALUE OF CORN? BEAN BREAKOUT?
12/11/24
CORN SELL SIGNAL
12/10/24
USDA BREAKDOWN
12/9/24
USDA TOMORROW
12/6/24
CORN TRYING TO BREAKOUT. MAKING MARKETING DECISIONS
12/5/24
OPTIMISTIC BOUNCE IN GRAINS
12/4/24
WHEAT UNDERVALUED? MOST RISK IN BEANS. HAVE A GAME PLAN
12/3/24
BEANS HOLDING DESPITE LACK OF BULLISH STORY
12/2/24
TRUMP & BRAZIL HURDLES
11/27/24
CORN SPREADS, CRUCIAL SPOT FOR BEANS, SEASONALITY SAYS BUY
11/26/24
TARIFF TALK PRESSURE
11/25/24
HOLIDAY TRADE, SEASONALS, TARGETS & DOWNSIDE RISKS
11/22/24
CORN TARGETS & CHINA CONCERNS
11/21/24
BEANS NEAR LOWS. CORN NEAR HIGHS. 2025 SALE THOUGHTS
11/19/24
WHAT’S NEXT FOR GRAINS
11/18/24
WHEAT LEADS THE GRAINS REBOUND
11/15/24
BIG BOUNCE, FUNDS LONG CORN, DOLLAR & DEMAND
11/14/24
3RD DAY OF GRAINS FALL OUT
11/13/24
GRAINS CONTINUE WEAKNESS & DOLLAR CONTINUES RALLY
11/12/24
ANOTHER POOR PERFORMANCE IN GRAINS
11/11/24
POOR ACTION IN GRAINS POST FRIENDLY USDA
11/8/24
USDA FRIENDLY BUT GRAINS WELL OFF HIGHS
11/6/24
GRAINS STORM BACK POST TRADE WAR FEAR
11/5/24
ALL ABOUT THE ELECTION & VIDEO CHART UDPATE
11/4/24
ELECTION TOMORROW
11/1/24
GRAINS WAITING ON NEWS
10/31/24
ELECTION & USDA NEXT WEEK
10/30/24
SEASONALS, CORN DEMAND, BRAZIL REAL & MORE
10/29/24
WHAT’S NEXT AFTER HARVEST?
10/25/24
POOR PRICE ACTION & SPREADS WEAKEN
10/24/24
BIG BUYERS WANT CORN?
10/23/24
6TH STRAIGHT DAY OF CORN SALES
10/22/24
STRONG DEMAND & TECHNICAL BUYING FOR GRAINS
10/21/24
SPREADS, BASIS CONTRACTS, STRONG CORN, BIG SALES
10/18/24
BEANS & WHEAT HAMMERED
10/17/24
OPTIMISTIC PRICE ACTION IN GRAINS
10/16/24
BEANS CONTINUE DOWNFALL. CORN & WHEAT FIND SUPPORT
10/15/24
MORE PAIN FOR GRAINS
10/14/24
GRAINS SMACKED. BEANS BREAK $10.00
10/10/24
USDA TOMORROW
10/9/24
MARKETING STYLES, USDA RISK, & FEED NEEDS
10/8/24
BEANS FALL APART
10/7/24
FLOORS, RISKS, & POTENTIAL UPSIDE
10/4/24
HEDGE PRESSURE
10/3/24
GRAINS TAKE A STEP BACK
10/2/24
CORN & WHEAT CONTINUE RUN
10/1/24
CORN & WHEAT POST MULTI-MONTH HIGHS
9/30/24