SOYBEANS & WHEAT FIGHTING LOWS. WILL CORN DEMAND CONTINUE
AUDIO COMMENTARY
Going to be short trading weeks
Is corn going pull beans up? Or will beans pull corn down?
Will exports continue when Trump arrives?
Funds are now long a lot of corn, which means they can sell out
Crush numbers disappointing for beans
Beans still at must hold levels
SA crops not getting smaller
Hard to say what’s priced in bean market
Corn world balance sheet is tight
Old crop corn still at a premium
Basis contracts could be good tool in corn soon
+$5 corn and sub $4 corn both very possible with Trump
Knowing your basis and having an outlook
All chart breakdowns below*
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CHART BREAKDOWNS
March Corn 🌽
We hit the green retracement box so that could’ve been it for the correction, but I personally think the correction isn’t over yet.
I am still looking for a bounce around $4.35 to $4.38 or so (50-61.8% retracements)
And I think we likely still back test that old resistance of the symmetrical triangle.
If you look at the 100-day MA (purple line) it has started to curl upwards for the first time in a long time. That is a positive sign longer term.
The stochastics are another reason why I think there is a decent chance this correction isn’t over yet.
They still are up near the top with plenty of room to come lower.
BUT there is exceptions to this where the stochastic can remain elevated for quiet some time. Personally I do not think this is one of those, but it could be.
Jan Beans 🌱
Nothing has changed.
Still sitting in this descending wedge waiting to pick a direction.
Break below and sub $9.00 is the implied move.
Break above and we will look for opportunities.
The stochastics are getting low but not yet quiet at the bottom.
They have a little more room to go lower and will probably bottom out in a day or two.
Perhaps this will coincide with those must hold levels of $9.75 and we once again get a bounce. As we now only have 7 cents between here and the lows.
March Wheat 🌾
No big changes here either.
Need to hold those lows or we could get a quick flush lower.
Above $5.84 and I’d call a bottom, but until then we are range bound fighting to hold off those lows.
The stochastics have some more room to go lower as well.
KC Wheat 🌾
The KC chart looks better than Chicago.
As it is further off those lows. Still doesn’t look great and we left a nasty doji candle today.
Need to hold those lows.
Past Sell or Protection Signals
We recently incorporated these. Here are our past signals.
Dec 11th: 🌽
Corn sell signal at $4.51 200-day MA
CLICK HERE TO VIEW
Oct 2nd: 🌾
Wheat sell signal at $6.12 target
Sep 30th: 🌽
Corn protection signal at $4.23-26
Sep 27th: 🌱
Soybean sell & protection signal at $10.65
Sep 13th: 🌾
Wheat sell signal at $5.98
May 22nd: 🌾
Wheat sell signal when wheat traded +$7.00
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Check Out Past Updates
12/13/24
POST USDA COOL OFF
12/12/24
CORN CORRECTION. WHY WE ALERTED SELL SIGNAL YESTERDAY
12/11/24
USDA PRICED IN? FAIR VALUE OF CORN? BEAN BREAKOUT?
12/11/24
CORN SELL SIGNAL
12/10/24
USDA BREAKDOWN
12/9/24
USDA TOMORROW
12/6/24
CORN TRYING TO BREAKOUT. MAKING MARKETING DECISIONS
12/5/24
OPTIMISTIC BOUNCE IN GRAINS
12/4/24
WHEAT UNDERVALUED? MOST RISK IN BEANS. HAVE A GAME PLAN
12/3/24
BEANS HOLDING DESPITE LACK OF BULLISH STORY
12/2/24
TRUMP & BRAZIL HURDLES
11/27/24
CORN SPREADS, CRUCIAL SPOT FOR BEANS, SEASONALITY SAYS BUY
11/26/24
TARIFF TALK PRESSURE
11/25/24
HOLIDAY TRADE, SEASONALS, TARGETS & DOWNSIDE RISKS
11/22/24
CORN TARGETS & CHINA CONCERNS
11/21/24
BEANS NEAR LOWS. CORN NEAR HIGHS. 2025 SALE THOUGHTS
11/19/24
WHAT’S NEXT FOR GRAINS
11/18/24
WHEAT LEADS THE GRAINS REBOUND
11/15/24
BIG BOUNCE, FUNDS LONG CORN, DOLLAR & DEMAND
11/14/24
3RD DAY OF GRAINS FALL OUT
11/13/24
GRAINS CONTINUE WEAKNESS & DOLLAR CONTINUES RALLY
11/12/24
ANOTHER POOR PERFORMANCE IN GRAINS
11/11/24
POOR ACTION IN GRAINS POST FRIENDLY USDA
11/8/24
USDA FRIENDLY BUT GRAINS WELL OFF HIGHS
11/6/24
GRAINS STORM BACK POST TRADE WAR FEAR
11/5/24
ALL ABOUT THE ELECTION & VIDEO CHART UDPATE
11/4/24
ELECTION TOMORROW
11/1/24
GRAINS WAITING ON NEWS
10/31/24
ELECTION & USDA NEXT WEEK
10/30/24
SEASONALS, CORN DEMAND, BRAZIL REAL & MORE
10/29/24
WHAT’S NEXT AFTER HARVEST?
10/25/24
POOR PRICE ACTION & SPREADS WEAKEN
10/24/24
BIG BUYERS WANT CORN?
10/23/24
6TH STRAIGHT DAY OF CORN SALES
10/22/24
STRONG DEMAND & TECHNICAL BUYING FOR GRAINS
10/21/24
SPREADS, BASIS CONTRACTS, STRONG CORN, BIG SALES
10/18/24
BEANS & WHEAT HAMMERED
10/17/24
OPTIMISTIC PRICE ACTION IN GRAINS
10/16/24
BEANS CONTINUE DOWNFALL. CORN & WHEAT FIND SUPPORT
10/15/24
MORE PAIN FOR GRAINS
10/14/24
GRAINS SMACKED. BEANS BREAK $10.00
10/10/24
USDA TOMORROW
10/9/24
MARKETING STYLES, USDA RISK, & FEED NEEDS
10/8/24
BEANS FALL APART
10/7/24
FLOORS, RISKS, & POTENTIAL UPSIDE
10/4/24
HEDGE PRESSURE
10/3/24
GRAINS TAKE A STEP BACK
10/2/24
CORN & WHEAT CONTINUE RUN
10/1/24
CORN & WHEAT POST MULTI-MONTH HIGHS
9/30/24